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April 8, 2025

Tariffs and Market Volatility

The Trump administration has begun executing on what it calls the “3-3-3+” economic plan, a blend of fiscal, monetary, and trade policies designed to fundamentally reshape America’s economic trajectory by 2028. Proposed originally by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and later expanded by President Trump, this agenda centers around four primary objectives1:

  • reducing the federal budget deficit to 3% of GDP
  • sustaining 3% annual GDP growth
  • increasing domestic oil production by 3 million barrels per day
  • reshoring critical manufacturing sectors.

While these goals may sound technocratic or abstract, the strategies used to achieve them, including a sweeping tariff regime, aggressive debt refinancing, spending cuts, and a push to revive U.S. industrial capacity are already reverberating across the markets, labor force, and the world.

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